Real-time CESM/CAM-SE "Betacasts."

Simulations and site maintained by: Colin Zarzycki

Computing support is currently provided through the Advanced CyberInfrastructure system in the Institute for CyberScience at Penn State University.

*** NOTE: This is NON-OPERATIONAL and EXPERIMENTAL. Please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center for official forecasts.

Model Description

Betacast Github Repository

(DOI) C. M. Zarzycki and C. Jablonowski (2015), Experimental tropical cyclone forecasts using a variable-resolution global model. Mon. Weat. Rev., doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0159.1

UPDATE: Switched to 14km CONUS mesh as of 12Z 29 Nov 2019
Simulations running in-house at PSU on ICS-ACI as of 00Z 7 Oct 2019

2019120800
COMPLETED AT Sun Dec 8 06:48:38 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019120700
COMPLETED AT Sat Dec 7 07:19:57 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019120500
COMPLETED AT Thu Dec 5 07:03:10 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019120400
COMPLETED AT Wed Dec 4 07:10:42 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019120300
COMPLETED AT Tue Dec 3 07:04:44 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019120200
COMPLETED AT Mon Dec 2 07:45:11 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019120100
COMPLETED AT Sun Dec 1 07:23:41 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

2019113000
COMPLETED AT Sat Nov 30 16:06:40 UTC 2019
CONUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water
Control TC tracks (TempestExtremes)
Ensemble TC tracks (TempestExtremes)

NEUS
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water

COLORADO
850 mb wind/MSLP
500 mb vorticity/500 mb geopotential height/500 mb wind vectors
Outgoing longwave radiation
Surface temperature
Surface temperature anomaly
Precipitation/MSLP
Precipitation type/MSLP
Accumulated precipitation
Accumulated snowfall (10:1)
Total precipitable water